Nephosthe weather behind the paintings
Thomas Moran, The Grand Canyon of the Yellowstone: the Lower Falls far off in a sunlit yellow canyon, spray rising, dark rocks and pines in the foreground.
Oil on canvas mounted on aluminum, 84 × 144¼ in. U.S. Department of the Interior Museum, INTR 03001. Public domain.

A study against the weather record

Thomas Moran

The Grand Canyon of the Yellowstone

1872 · U.S. Department of the Interior Museum, Washington, INTR 03001

Moran sketched the Lower Falls from 28 to 30 July 1871 and painted the canvas in his studio afterwards. What did the survey’s instruments record around the canyon that week?

42°Fahrenheit at dawn on 27 July 1871, after “Frost at night”, at the survey’s camp 2.4 km from the Lower Falls. Moran arrived that evening; the thermometer had moved on.

The bright sky partially agreesDay unknown

The recordsThe painting at the Interior Museum

The Nephos method

How this study was read

The method in full
  1. What is written

    Painted in the studio and completed in 1872, from sketches Moran made at the Lower Falls between the evening of 27 July and the morning of 31 July 1871, with the Hayden survey.

  2. Records of those days

    Not found or not yet searched

    • No instrument stood at the canyon on 28–30 July: the survey’s camp left Cascade Creek, 2.4 km from the falls, on the morning of the day Moran arrived.
    • No one measured rain; rain appears only in remarks.
    • Captain Barlow’s parallel instrument record was destroyed in the Chicago fire of October 1871.
  3. Each claim tested

    • The painting’s sunlit canyon under a bright sky, as Nephos reads the canvas. On 28–30 July the plateau camps logged about half the sky clear by day (5.6 of 10 on average) and 8 to 10 of 10 in the evenings; the valley station 6.4 of 10 by day. Beyond showers on the night of 27–28 July, no rain was remarked through the 30th; a storm stood in the northeast on the evening of the 29th.
    • “a gale was blowing”, Captain Barlow on the summit of Mount Washburn, 26 July 1871. That afternoon Beaman logged the strongest wind of the week at Cascade Creek below the mountain: south-west, force 4, a stiff breeze on his 0–10 scale.
    • “frosts occur every night”, Barlow on the plateau. Beaman remarked frost once, on the night of 26–27 July at Cascade Creek (42° at 6 a.m.); the next dawns read 42½° to 51°.
    • The day and the sky of the canvas itself. A studio composite; Moran said the relations of the parts “are not always preserved”.
  4. Verdict

    The week Moran sketched the canyon was fair high-plateau summer: frosty dawns in the low 40s, afternoons near 70°, the sky about half clear by day and clearing at dusk, one storm on the horizon and no measured rain. The instruments had moved up-river the day he arrived, so the canyon itself went unmeasured.

    • Partially agreesThe bright sky Fair days on the survey’s logs, 13–20 trail miles from the canyon; nothing measured at the falls.
    • Partially agreesBarlow’s gale on Mount Washburn The windiest reading of the week, below the mountain; the summit was not measured.
    • Partially agrees“frosts occur every night” Frost is remarked on one night of five; the thermometer was read after dawn, not at the coldest hour.
    • UnknownThe day painted A studio composite from several days’ sketches and photographs.

What this cannot tell you. Beaman’s readings are single spot readings at irregular hours, not daily highest and lowest, with unknown exposure. The plateau camps moved every day or two between 7,400 and 7,800 feet; the valley station is 2,500 feet lower and 63 trail miles away. The modern averages are context only: Beaman’s single readings at odd hours from moving camps are not daily highs and lows, so they cannot show that 1871 was like today.

Step 2 · Records of those days

The thermometer left the canyon the day Moran arrived

The Hayden survey’s meteorologist, J. W. Beaman, read a barometer and an open-air thermometer at every camp two to four times a day, and noted the wind, the kind of cloud and how many tenths of the sky were clear. The party camped at Cascade Creek, 2.4 km from the Lower Falls, on the night of 26–27 July and moved up-river that morning. Moran, travelling a day behind the main party, reached the falls that evening. For the three days he sketched there, the nearest readings are from the Mud Volcano and Yellowstone Lake camps, 13 to 20 trail miles south. A second observer kept a base station in the Yellowstone valley at Boteler’s Ranch, 63 trail miles away, and the Army surgeon at Fort Ellis, 110 km away, read his thermometer three times a day. Nobody measured rain.

Every thermometer reading of the Hayden survey, 25 to 31 July 1871Red: the moving camps on the plateau, 7,400 to 7,800 feet. Grey: the base station in the Yellowstone valley, 4,925 feet. The shaded span is Moran at the falls. The coldest reading, 42 °F with frost, was at Cascade Creek on the morning of 27 July.Moran at the falls40°60°80°100°25 July26 July27 July28 July29 July30 July31 July26 July, 5.50 a.m.: 49.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch26 July, 9.00 a.m.: 68.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch26 July, 3.10 p.m.: 85.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch26 July, 7.25 p.m.: 69.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch27 July, 5.15 a.m.: 47.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch27 July, 9.00 a.m.: 87 °F, Boteler’s Ranch27 July, 12.10 p.m.: 92 °F, Boteler’s Ranch27 July, 3.00 p.m.: 93 °F, Boteler’s Ranch27 July, 7.15 p.m.: 74 °F, Boteler’s Ranch28 July, 6.30 a.m.: 62.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch28 July, 9.10 a.m.: 76 °F, Boteler’s Ranch28 July, 12.30 p.m.: 87.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch28 July, 3.15 p.m.: 76 °F, Boteler’s Ranch28 July, 6.55 p.m.: 68 °F, Boteler’s Ranch29 July, 7.45 a.m.: 74.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch29 July, 9.10 a.m.: 73.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch29 July, 12.00 m.: 86 °F, Boteler’s Ranch29 July, 2.15 p.m.: 86 °F, Boteler’s Ranch29 July, 8.30 p.m.: 62.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch30 July, 6.00 a.m.: 57 °F, Boteler’s Ranch30 July, 9.00 a.m.: 81 °F, Boteler’s Ranch30 July, 12.00 m.: 93 °F, Boteler’s Ranch30 July, 2.45 p.m.: 81.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch30 July, 7.30 p.m.: 71.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch31 July, 6.30 a.m.: 67 °F, Boteler’s Ranch31 July, 9.25 a.m.: 91 °F, Boteler’s Ranch31 July, 12.15 p.m.: 91.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch31 July, 3.00 p.m.: 93.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch31 July, 7.45 p.m.: 68.5 °F, Boteler’s Ranch25 July, 8.00 a.m.: 61.5 °F, Small Creek25 July, 3.30 p.m.: 78 °F, Tower Creek25 July, 7.15 p.m.: 61 °F, Tower Creek26 July, 7.00 a.m.: 49 °F, Tower Creek26 July, 3.30 p.m.: 72.5 °F, Cascade Creek26 July, 7.15 p.m.: 60 °F, Cascade Creek27 July, 6.00 a.m.: 42 °F, Cascade Creek27 July, 3.15 p.m.: 73.5 °F, Mud Volcano27 July, 7.30 p.m.: 60 °F, Mud Volcano28 July, 6.00 a.m.: 42.5 °F, Mud Volcano28 July, 12.45 p.m.: 59 °F, Yellowstone Lake28 July, 3.30 p.m.: 60.75 °F, Yellowstone Lake28 July, 7.15 p.m.: 56 °F, Yellowstone Lake29 July, 8.00 a.m.: 51 °F, Yellowstone Lake29 July, 12.00 m.: 70 °F, Yellowstone Lake29 July, 3.30 p.m.: 68.5 °F, Yellowstone Lake29 July, 7.15 p.m.: 64 °F, Yellowstone Lake30 July, 9.30 a.m.: 64 °F, Yellowstone Lake30 July, 7.15 p.m.: 65 °F, Yellowstone Lake31 July, 6.45 a.m.: 50.5 °F, Yellowstone Lake31 July, 12.20 p.m.: 68.5 °F, Yellowstone Lake31 July, 2.30 p.m.: 71 °F, Yellowstone Lake31 July, 8.00 p.m.: 60.5 °F, Yellowstone LakeValley station, 4,925 ftPlateau campsSmoky eastFrost at nightShowers during the nightStorm in the northeastSmoky northSmall CreekTower CreekCascade CreekMud VolcanoYellowstone Lakecampcloud25 July, 8.00 a.m.: 10 tenths of the sky clear25 July, 3.30 p.m.: 8 tenths of the sky clear25 July, 7.15 p.m.: 9 tenths of the sky clear26 July, 7.00 a.m.: 8 tenths of the sky clear26 July, 3.30 p.m.: 7 tenths of the sky clear26 July, 7.15 p.m.: 9 tenths of the sky clear27 July, 6.00 a.m.: 5 tenths of the sky clear27 July, 3.15 p.m.: 9 tenths of the sky clear27 July, 7.30 p.m.: 10 tenths of the sky clear28 July, 6.00 a.m.: 6 tenths of the sky clear28 July, 12.45 p.m.: 5 tenths of the sky clear28 July, 3.30 p.m.: 6 tenths of the sky clear28 July, 7.15 p.m.: 8 tenths of the sky clear29 July, 8.00 a.m.: 6 tenths of the sky clear29 July, 12.00 m.: 5 tenths of the sky clear29 July, 3.30 p.m.: 5 tenths of the sky clear29 July, 7.15 p.m.: 8 tenths of the sky clear30 July, 9.30 a.m.: 6.5 tenths of the sky clear30 July, 7.15 p.m.: 10 tenths of the sky clear31 July, 6.45 a.m.: 4 tenths of the sky clear31 July, 12.20 p.m.: 8 tenths of the sky clear31 July, 2.30 p.m.: 8 tenths of the sky clear31 July, 8.00 p.m.: 10 tenths of the sky clear
Every thermometer reading of the survey, 25–31 July 1871, as printed in Hayden’s report and transcribed by Nephos. Red: the moving camps on the plateau; grey: the valley station (open-air thermometer). Circles along the bottom: cloud at each plateau reading, filled for overcast, empty for clear.
42°
at 6 a.m. on 27 July at Cascade Creek, 2.4 km from the falls, after “Frost at night”
5.6
tenths of the sky clear by day, on average, at the plateau camps on 28–30 July
94°
the valley station’s highest reading, 31 July, in the shade
4
the strongest wind of the week on Beaman’s 0–10 scale, a stiff breeze, 26 July at Cascade Creek
Every reading at the plateau camps, 25–31 July 1871
1871TimeCamp°FWindCloudsClear sky, of 10Remark
25 July8.00 a.m.Small Creek61.5N. 110Smoky east.
25 July3.30 p.m.Tower Creek78 0Cu., cir.-cu8
25 July7.15 p.m.Tower Creek61 0Cir.-cu9
26 July7.00 a.m.Tower Creek49S.W. 1Cir.-cu8
26 July3.30 p.m.Cascade Creek72.5S.W. 4Cir.-cu., cu7
26 July7.15 p.m.Cascade Creek60S.W. 1Cir.-str., cir.-cu9
27 July6.00 a.m.Cascade Creek42E. 1Cir.-cu5Frost at night.
27 July3.15 p.m.Mud Volcano73.5S.W. 3Cir.-cu., cu9
27 July7.30 p.m.Mud Volcano60N.E. 310
28 July6.00 a.m.Mud Volcano42.5N.E. 3Cir.-cu., cu-str6Showers during the night.
28 July12.45 p.m.Yellowstone Lake59S. 3Cu., cir-cu5
28 July3.30 p.m.Yellowstone Lake60.75S. 3Cir.-cu., cu6
28 July7.15 p.m.Yellowstone Lake56N.W. 1Cir.-cu., cu.-str8
29 July8.00 a.m.Yellowstone Lake51S.E. 1Cir.-cu6
29 July12.00 m.Yellowstone Lake70S.E. 3Cu., cir.-cu5
29 July3.30 p.m.Yellowstone Lake68.5S.S.E. 2Cu., cu.-str5
29 July7.15 p.m.Yellowstone Lake64S.E. 3Cu.-str., cu8Storm in the northeast.
30 July9.30 a.m.Yellowstone Lake64S.S.E. 2Cu.-str., cir.-cu6.5
30 July7.15 p.m.Yellowstone Lake65S.S.E. 110
31 July6.45 a.m.Yellowstone Lake50.5N.N.E. 1Cir.-cu4
31 July12.20 p.m.Yellowstone Lake68.5S.S.E. 3Cu.-str., cu8
31 July2.30 p.m.Yellowstone Lake71S.S.E. 3Cu., cir.-cu8
31 July8.00 p.m.Yellowstone Lake60.5W. 210Smoky north.
Every reading at Boteler’s Ranch, 26–31 July 1871
1871TimeDry bulb, °FWet bulb, °FWindCloudsClear sky, of 10Remark
26 July5.50 a.m.49.544.5S.W. 110
26 July9.00 a.m.6754N.E. 110
26 July3.10 p.m.82.557.5S.W. 4Cu5
26 July7.25 p.m.6953W.S.W. 1Cir9
27 July5.15 a.m.4944.5W.S.W. 2Cu., cir9Heavy wind, and rain at night.
27 July9.00 a.m.8866.5S.W. 210
27 July12.10 p.m.9261.5S.W. 4Cu9
27 July3.00 p.m.8858S.W. 4Cu7
27 July7.15 p.m.73.551.5S.S.W. 4Cu.-str., nim4
28 July6.30 a.m.66.552.5W.S.W. 4Cu., cir.-cu8
28 July9.10 a.m.77.559S.S.W. 4Cu., cir.-cu5
28 July12.30 p.m.8663S.S.W. 4Cir.-cu., cu.-str4
28 July3.15 p.m.74.556S.S.W. 4Cu.-str., cu3
28 July6.55 p.m.67.555.5S.S.W. 3Cu.-str., cu8
29 July7.45 a.m.7960.5N.E. 1Cu., cir9
29 July9.10 a.m.8061.5E. 1Cir.-cu9
29 July12.00 m.86.565.5N.E. 2Cu8
29 July2.15 p.m.8464.5N.E. 2Cir.-cu., cu7
29 July8.30 p.m.61.553.5N. 2Cu., cir8
30 July6.00 a.m.5952.5S.W. 1Cu., cu.-str7
30 July9.00 a.m.82.558S.S.W. 3Cu., cu.-str6
30 July12.00 m.93.564.5S.W. 4Cu., cir.-cu8
30 July2.45 p.m.82.556S.W. 4Cu8
30 July7.30 p.m.7054.5W. 110
31 July6.30 a.m.72.555.5S.S.W. 310
31 July9.25 a.m.91.562.5S.S.W. 310
31 July12.15 p.m.9463.5S.S.W. 410
31 July3.00 p.m.92.560.5S.S.W. 4Cu9
31 July7.45 p.m.66.551.5S.W. 110

Step 3 · The claims tested

Frosty dawns, fair afternoons, a storm on the horizon

The camp log records dawn readings in the 40s and low 50s and afternoon readings from about 60° to the low 70s, and by day the plateau sky was on average 5.6 tenths clear, with cumulus and cirro-cumulus building and clearing again by evening. Showers fell on the night of 27–28 July at the Mud Volcano camp; on the evening of the 29th Beaman saw a storm in the northeast. Down in the valley it was hot: 94° in the shade by 31 July. At Fort Ellis the surgeon entered no rain from 24 to 31 July. Captain Barlow of the Army Engineers, a day ahead of Moran, found a gale on the summit of Mount Washburn on 26 July; that afternoon Beaman’s strongest wind of the week, force 4, blew at Cascade Creek below. The modern averages below are context only: Beaman took single readings at odd hours from camps that kept moving, not daily highs and lows, so the two cannot be compared directly.

40.9°
the average late-July night at Lake Yellowstone today (27–31 July, 1991–2020), 19 km from the falls
73.8°
the average late-July afternoon there
7%
of those nights reach frost
39.5°
the average late-July night at the Canyon snow station, 1.1 km from the falls

“Frost at night.”

Beaman’s remarks, Cascade Creek, 27 July, 6.00 a.m.

“Showers during the night.”

Beaman’s remarks, Mud Volcano, 28 July, 6.00 a.m.

“Storm in the northeast.”

Beaman’s remarks, Yellowstone Lake, 29 July, 7.15 p.m.

“Smoky north.”

Beaman’s remarks, Yellowstone Lake, 31 July, 8.00 p.m.

“Heavy wind, and rain at night.”

Beaman’s remarks, Boteler’s Ranch, 27 July, 5.15 a.m.

“a gale was blowing at the time that I found it utterly impossible to use my drawing materials.”

Captain J. W. Barlow, on the summit of Mount Washburn, 26 July 1871: Report of a Reconnaissance of the Basin of the Upper Yellowstone (1872)

“frosts occur every night during the year.”

Barlow, on the plateau at about 7,000 feet, the same report

“The amount of rain which fell was slight in nearly every case.”

J. W. Beaman, summary of the survey’s weather, Hayden 1872, p. 518

Step 4 · Why the verdict stops at the week

A studio picture, by Moran’s own account

Moran’s diary records where he was each day at the falls but not the weather. He painted the canvas in his studio afterwards from his sketches and memory, completing it in 1872, and later said he had moved parts of the view. What Nephos sees in it is sun raking across the canyon’s walls, a bright sky with thin high cloud, spray standing above the falls and the foreground in shadow: weather the survey’s logs show was common that week, but no single hour of it can be matched to the painting.

“July 27 Left Tower Falls. Halted at noon on Mt. Washburne. Arrived at Yellowstone falls in the evening.”

Thomas Moran, diary, 1871 (Yellowstone National Park collection, NPS transcription)

“July 28. Sketching & photographing about the Falls. July 29 photographing & sketching around the Falls & Canon July 30 still at the Falls.”

The same diary

“July 31st Left the falls reached crater Hill.”

The same diary

“the gorgeous display of color that impressed itself upon me.”

Moran on the motive of the picture, in G. W. Sheldon, American Painters (1879), p. 125

“I did not wish to realize the scene literally, but to preserve and to convey its true impression.”

The same

“Every form introduced into the picture is within view from a given point, but the relations of the separate parts to one another are not always preserved.”

The same, pp. 125–126

“these beautiful tints were beyond the reach of human art.”

F. V. Hayden, on Moran at the canyon, Preliminary Report (1872), p. 84

“His aim was to not necessarily capture a topographically accurate scene but rather the sublime experience nature provides.”

U.S. Department of the Interior, blog, 25 September 2020

Sources

Every source on this page

Each file was downloaded and given a fingerprint (its sha256). The page is rebuilt from these files and will not build if a fingerprint changes, so every number above comes from them rather than being typed in.

  1. U.S. Department of the Interior Museum, Thomas Moran & the “Big Picture”U.S. Government work · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 e875ddb5b2a4b82e68af642c8d8aeb8bdd241d851e0a3dfb03272d879751c232
  2. U.S. Department of the Interior, Thomas Moran and the Big Pictures (Internet Archive copy)U.S. Government work · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 3e7f22ad2dec7f674a3ed91dcb487d9919a8600cbcdb44efa5ae1753b9cf9c22
  3. Wikimedia Commons, The Grand Canyon of the Yellowstone (1555 × 895 px)Public domain; U.S. Department of the Interior · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 93e00cacab92f3820e1c06cd0d2892260204c8d39ff08cbbc60a762e459c4398
  4. Beaman, Observations taken on the Yellowstone Lake trip, Hayden 1872, p. 512 (page image)Public domain; Internet Archive · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 821d2ad423abe160ffd46a65519529c397791d2447f40f5d87a07607075f2445Transcribed by Nephos into window-engine/evidence/moran/beaman-1871.json with pp. 508, 509 and 513.
  5. The same table, p. 513Public domain; Internet Archive · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 3453ab7255e943e6911df47cacb273f06ceeb6188c2a0839c6e77610bff58090
  6. Beaman, Observations taken at Boteler’s Ranch, Hayden 1872, p. 508Public domain; Internet Archive · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 910a7b0db8f8248546efe9267f28a662f2f8c3107e6673743d24ffb31f858406
  7. The same table, p. 509Public domain; Internet Archive · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 bf3d5593fd65c68d0a8f06236afb15f4ac88b67aee03acc4d6007849db60f144
  8. F. V. Hayden, Preliminary Report of the United States Geological Survey of Montana (1872), full textPublic domain; Internet Archive · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 20de918876752b5cdc943c2a20e9f1fc5a23610ba687d86b8a6850869e4e590d
  9. Meteorological Register, Fort Ellis, Montana Territory, July 1871NOAA NCEI Pre-Weather Bureau forts records; no restrictions · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 04cb250098e83ad7a3fdd6643734f847d618c9098c23a79b9a6bf78971fd4cef
  10. Thomas Moran’s 1871 diary, NPS transcription, page 4U.S. Government work · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 889d3328619002260daf238adce200275d8041b4c272c123642dc41809bfa09b
  11. Thomas Moran’s 1871 diary, NPS transcription, page 5U.S. Government work · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 aa1d891bbdbd122f56c985ceeb47fd73659d5b9d27aca36c0dec3b11b0808b7e
  12. J. W. Barlow, Report of a Reconnaissance of the Basin of the Upper Yellowstone in 1871 (1872), full textPublic domain; Internet Archive · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 09e8b08574e839bac818e3001ebfd29179397daff48ea291159c1470fb94c275
  13. G. W. Sheldon, American Painters (1879), full textPublic domain; Internet Archive · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 356fe5fcca3a640d14633bb093c239f0615689256424d92f912122cb3910ede2
  14. GHCN-Daily, Lake Yellowstone, Wyoming (USC00485345)NOAA NCEI; U.S. government work · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 6f4373d3a2caf682f8335ce469ec908d3cc0996ab4a394ac97eeefed0579e882
  15. GHCN-Daily, Canyon snow station, Wyoming (USS0010E03S)NOAA NCEI; U.S. government work · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 d512dbe69b99aad7dd904384badf18601b049a9fe8d8b05ed704188117372ca5
  16. Wikidata: Lower Falls of the Yellowstone River (Q105337493)CC0 · retrieved 30 September 2026sha256 4187256b08610f7cd5554758b13bc0b3e5673b233c42011f03066b1a43c2499644.7179755, -110.4964252

The numbers on this page, as JSONThe method card, as JSON