Nephosthe weather behind the paintings
Light summer clothes, open parasols including a bright red one, children on rocks and sails on a blue sea beneath Prendergast’s bright, clouded sky.
Maurice Brazil Prendergast, Rocky Shore, Nantasket, ca. 1896–1897. Watercolor, pencil and ink on paper. Williams College Museum of Art, M.2004.13.1, Bequest of Sophia W. Brumbaugh. Public-domain reproduction via WikiArt.

A study against the weather record

Maurice Brazil Prendergast

Rocky Shore, Nantasket

ca. 1896–1897 · Williams College Museum of Art, M.2004.13.1 · Bequest of Sophia W. Brumbaugh

A sunny summer beach, alive with parasols, children and sails. How often did the region offer a day like this?

20 / 16clear days at Blue Hill in the 92-day summers of 1896 and 1897. A recurring opportunity, though a minority of days; no day is assigned to the watercolor.

Summer sky testedPainted day unknown

The recordsThe painting in WCMA’s checklist

The Nephos method

How this study was read

The method in full
  1. What is written

    Nephos reads the light clothes, parasols, children, sails, blue sea and bright sky as a fair, sunny summer beach day. This is Nephos’s visual reading, not a museum statement. WCMA dates the watercolor approximately 1896–1897; the signature carries no date.

  2. Records of those days

    Not found or not yet searched

    • No source inspected links this sheet to a particular Nantasket visit or painting session; June–August tests its depicted summer subject, not its execution date.
    • The published historical tables give monthly sunshine duration. The daily strip is cloud amount at 2 p.m., not reconstructed sunshine hours.
    • Modern archive coverage does not support a 1991–2020 sunshine normal. Instrument comparability is unresolved.
  3. Each claim tested

    • How often did these summers offer a largely clear sky at Blue Hill? 20 of 92 days in 1896 and 16 of 92 in 1897 were classified clear. Including the much broader fair category gives 59 and 51; these are not counts of sunny beach visits.
    • How do the recorded sunshine totals compare with a modern run? 722.1 and 660.3 hours, versus 805.0 hours averaged over the 14 complete modern summers. A descriptive archive comparison, not a climate trend.
    • Do contemporary reports put crowds at Nantasket in these seasons? Yes: a June 1896 reunion under smiling skies, and heavy train traffic on Monday 5 July 1897. Blue Hill recorded 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m. on the latter date; neither witness names Prendergast.
  4. Verdict

    A sunny seaside scene fits a recurring opportunity in both summers, though a largely clear day was a minority condition at Blue Hill: 20 and 16 days. Local reporting places crowds at Nantasket in the same seasons.

    • Partially agreesNephos’s sunny-summer reading against the regional records Clear conditions recurred in both summers and contemporary reports describe Nantasket outings; these do not verify conditions at the painted rocks.
    • UnknownThe painted day and actual weather at the rocks No dated session or linked beach observation.

What this cannot tell you. Blue Hill and Boston are regional stations. Neither is the painted scene, and their records are never pooled. Cloud amount, sunshine duration and a clear-day classification measure different things; none defines every pleasant beach day. The older sunshine recorder’s glass sphere was reported injured and replaced in January 1898; no bias correction or modern sensor harmonization is attempted. The composition source supports repeated colours and overlapping figures, not an alteration of observed weather or a documented outdoor/studio sequence. The underlying catalogue raisonné entry and archival object file were not inspected; they may narrow the date.

Step 1 · Read the picture

A fair, sunny summer day at the beach

This is Nephos’s reading of the picture, not a museum statement. Crowds wear light summer dress; open parasols include a bright red one. Children occupy the rocks, sailboats cross a blue sea, and a bright sky with fair-weather clouds sets the scene in strong light. Together these visible choices suggest a fair, sunny summer beach day, with some cloud rather than an empty sky.

That reading makes a test possible: how often did the surrounding region offer a largely clear sky during the two summers around the catalogue date? Cloud observations test the availability of such conditions; sunshine duration tells us how much bright sun those seasons received.

WCMA dates this watercolor to ca. 1896–1897, accession M.2004.13.1. Its recorded inscription is a signature without a date. We compare 1 June–31 August in each year separately: a conventional summer window chosen for the depicted subject, not a claim about when Prendergast worked. Neither a month nor an hour is assigned to the picture, and “ca.” leaves the outer dates approximate.

Step 2 · Test the summer sky

A recurring opportunity, not the everyday sky

Blue Hill Observatory classified 20 of 92 days in summer 1896 and 16 of 92 in 1897 as clear—22% and 17% of the season. A largely clear day was a minority condition in both summers, but there were repeated opportunities for one. The painting’s bright seaside scene belongs within that recurring range of conditions.

The observatory’s broader clear or fair categories include 59 and 51 days. “Fair” here allows appreciable cloud. The published classes use mean hourly cloud observations from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.: 0–2 tenths clear, 3–7 fair, 8–10 cloudy. These are station classifications, not counts of picture-perfect beach days. A sunny interval can occur on a day that fails the clear-day test. 1896 observations · 1897 observations.

Blue Hill’s two summers: clear-day counts and daily afternoon cloudThe upper bars divide each summer into the observatory’s clear, fair and cloudy days. Below, one column per date shows open sky in blue and cloud in gray at 2 p.m. The red marker is the newspaper’s holiday outing date, not a painting date. Exact values follow in tables.A largely clear day was a minority conditionPublished daily classifications · June–August · 92 days per summer189620 clear39 fair33 cloudy189716 clear35 fair41 cloudyClear 0–2 · Fair 3–7 · Cloudy 8–10 tenths: mean hourly cloud, 7 a.m.–8 p.m.How the sky changed from day to dayOne observation at 2 p.m. · blue = open sky · gray = cloud · not sunshine hours18961896-06-01: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-02: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-03: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-04: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-05: 1/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-06: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-07: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-08: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-09: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-10: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-11: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-12: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-13: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-14: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-15: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-16: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-17: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-18: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-19: 2/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-20: 2/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-21: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-22: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-23: 2/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-24: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-25: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-26: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-27: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-28: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-29: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-06-30: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-01: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-02: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-03: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-04: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-05: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-06: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-07: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-08: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-09: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-10: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-11: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-12: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-13: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-14: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-15: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-16: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-17: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-18: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-19: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-20: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-21: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-22: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-23: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-24: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-25: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-26: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-27: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-28: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-29: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-30: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-07-31: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-01: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-02: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-03: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-04: 2/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-05: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-06: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-07: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-08: 1/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-09: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-10: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-11: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-12: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-13: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-14: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-15: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-16: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-17: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-18: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-19: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-20: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-21: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-22: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-23: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-24: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-25: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-26: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-27: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-28: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-29: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-30: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1896-08-31: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1 June1 July1 August18971897-06-01: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-02: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-03: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-04: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-05: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-06: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-07: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-08: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-09: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-10: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-11: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-12: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-13: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-14: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-15: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-16: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-17: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-18: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-19: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-20: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-21: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-22: 1/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-23: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-24: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-25: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-26: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-27: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-28: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-29: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-06-30: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-01: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-02: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-03: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-04: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-05: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-06: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-07: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-08: 2/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-09: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-10: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-11: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-12: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-13: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-14: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-15: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-16: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-17: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-18: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-19: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-20: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-21: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-22: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-23: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-24: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-25: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-26: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-27: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-28: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-29: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-30: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-07-31: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-01: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-02: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-03: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-04: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-05: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-06: 7/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-07: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-08: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-09: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-10: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-11: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-12: 4/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-13: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-14: 2/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-15: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-16: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-17: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-18: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-19: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-20: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-21: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-22: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-23: 9/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-24: 10/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-25: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-26: 3/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-27: 6/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-28: 5/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-29: 0/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-30: 8/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1897-08-31: 1/10 cloud at 2 p.m.1 June1 July1 August5 July: 3/10 cloud; holiday trains reported
Blue Hill, June–August 1896 and 1897. The upper bars are published whole-day classifications; the lower strips are separate 2 p.m. cloud observations. They measure different things. The red mark belongs to a newspaper outing, never to this watercolor.
Blue Hill’s published daily sky classifications, summed over each summer
SummerClearFairCloudyClear share
189620393321.7%
189716354117.4%

The inspected Annals publish monthly sunshine duration, not a daily duration series. The daily strip therefore shows the cloud observations that can actually be recovered from these tables. We have not converted open sky into hours of sunshine: a cloud’s position relative to the sun matters as well as its size.

Every afternoon observation behind the strip

Whole-sky cloud in tenths at the printed 2 p.m. observation. This hour supplies a consistent daytime sample; it is not an inferred painting hour. All selected cells were checked on the scans; none carries the tables’ small-type interpolation marker.

DateCloud, tenthsAnnals locator
1896-06-018Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-028Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-030Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-046Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-051Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-069Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-0710Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-0810Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-096Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-1010Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-116Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-128Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-135Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-1410Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-1510Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-168Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-178Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-186Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-192Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-202Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-214Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-225Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-232Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-2410Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-259Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-2610Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-278Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-2810Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-298Table VI, p. 22
1896-06-300Table VI, p. 22
1896-07-010Table VI, p. 22
1896-07-024Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-0310Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-0410Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-0510Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-0610Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-0710Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-089Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-099Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-103Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-115Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-124Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-137Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-1410Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-1510Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-164Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-175Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-180Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-198Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-209Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-219Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-229Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-233Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-2410Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-254Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-260Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-2710Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-280Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-294Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-307Table VI, p. 23
1896-07-310Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-013Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-0210Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-036Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-042Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-058Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-0610Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-077Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-081Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-097Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-100Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-113Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-127Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-138Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-1410Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-1510Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-166Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-174Table VI, p. 23
1896-08-187Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-198Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-207Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-215Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-2210Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-2310Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-247Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-253Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-266Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-2710Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-285Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-297Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-303Table VI, p. 24
1896-08-3110Table VI, p. 24
1897-06-019Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-023Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-039Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-048Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-0510Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-0610Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-078Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-089Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-0910Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-1010Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-113Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-129Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-1310Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-149Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-157Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-167Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-179Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-184Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-197Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-2010Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-217Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-221Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-236Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-243Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-257Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-265Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-277Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-280Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-2910Table VI, p. 160
1897-06-307Table VI, p. 160
1897-07-014Table VI, p. 160
1897-07-0210Table VI, p. 160
1897-07-033Table VI, p. 160
1897-07-048Table VI, p. 160
1897-07-053Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-064Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-079Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-082Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-094Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-109Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-1110Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-128Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-1310Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-1410Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-156Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-164Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-178Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-1810Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-199Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-208Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-219Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-2210Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-237Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-249Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-258Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-268Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-278Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-2810Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-2910Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-308Table VI, p. 161
1897-07-319Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-017Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-029Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-035Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-047Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-057Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-067Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-075Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-086Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-098Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-1010Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-118Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-124Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-133Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-142Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-1510Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-1610Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-176Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-188Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-1910Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-205Table VI, p. 161
1897-08-213Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-229Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-239Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-2410Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-253Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-263Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-276Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-285Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-290Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-308Table VI, p. 162
1897-08-311Table VI, p. 162

Step 3 · Sunshine and a second station

July gave less sunshine than August in both years

Blue Hill recorded 722.1 hours of bright sunshine in summer 1896 and 660.3 in 1897. In both years July had less recorded sunshine than August, even though July had more possible daylight. Boston’s separate recorder gives the same July-to-August ordering.

Boston also reported 36 clear days in 1896 and 31 in 1897, with its own cloud classifications. Those counts remain separate: the reporting schedules and thresholds have not been harmonized with Blue Hill’s. They cannot be averaged into a Nantasket count. Monthly Weather Review, 1896 · 1897.

June–August, as recorded at each station
MonthBlue Hill sun, hoursBlue Hill sun, % possibleBoston sun, % possibleBoston clear / partly cloudy / cloudy days
June 1896250.657%57%13 / 8 / 9
July 1896215.448%51%11 / 9 / 11
August 1896256.162%61%12 / 13 / 6
June 1897216.649%56%10 / 7 / 13
July 1897195.744%48%7 / 8 / 16
August 1897248.060%63%14 / 8 / 9

The percentages retain each publication’s method. Blue Hill deducted half an hour per day from possible sunshine to allow for weak low-angle sun; the Weather Bureau supplemented low-sun gaps with visual observations. Boston used a thermal recorder, Blue Hill a Campbell–Stokes burning-glass recorder. The percentages give seasonal context within each series, not an exact comparison of the two instruments.

Step 4 · People actually went to the beach

Smiling skies, boats and crowded holiday trains

A nearby newspaper supplies what a summit instrument cannot: people at Nantasket. On 3 July 1896 the Weymouth Gazette described the Massachusetts Woman’s Relief Corps reunion there during June. It reported a south wind tempering the sun, boats bringing hundreds from the city and electric cars bringing crowds from inland.

“Smiling skies, the brightest blue old ocean ever wore”

Weymouth Gazette, 3 July, Woman’s Relief Corps at Nantasket

The article calls the weather a perfect June day, but the exact outing date has not been established here. It is a contemporary witness to a sunny, crowded Nantasket outing in the season, not a proposed date for the watercolor.

“every succeeding train handled a succeeding crowd of humanity”

Weymouth Gazette, 9 July, Brief Items / East Weymouth

In its 9 July 1897 issue, the paper reported exceptionally heavy travel on Monday, 5 July, with trains every fifteen minutes from East Weymouth to Nantasket and Pemberton. Blue Hill’s separate observation that afternoon recorded 3 tenths of the sky covered by cloud at 2 p.m. The mean of its 14 hourly observations from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. was 1.6 tenths, within its clear-day band. That is the red mark in the chart: a documented holiday crowd alongside a regional observation of relatively open sky. The report does not name Prendergast, and the station does not establish the weather at the rocks.

Step 5 · Then and now

Less than the modern average, within its observed range

For a modern comparison, NOAA’s Blue Hill sunshine series supplies 14 complete summers within 2009–2024, averaging 805.0 hours. The two historical totals are 82.9 and 144.7 hours below that average. Both still fall within the modern summers’ recorded range of 632.7–922.8 hours.

This is a comparison of recorded totals, not a climate trend or a 1991–2020 normal. NOAA’s archived sunshine coverage is too incomplete for that thirty-year normal. The comparison uses the sustained run beginning in 2009; 2017 and 2020 each lack one day and are excluded without filling the gaps. NOAA source · TSUN units and flags.

Blue Hill, June–August bright-sunshine duration
Season or referenceHours
1896722.1
1897660.3
Mean of 14 complete summers, 2009–2024805.0

There is also an instrument warning in the historical source itself: the old recorder’s glass sphere had become injured and was replaced in January 1898. The size of any earlier bias is unquantified here, and the modern sensor record has not been harmonized with it. The difference in totals cannot be attributed wholly to a change in climate.

The modern summers, including the exclusions
SummerSunshine, hoursCoverage
2009632.792/92
2010813.892/92
2011806.092/92
2012837.992/92
2013771.492/92
2014897.292/92
2015812.192/92
2016922.892/92
2017ExcludedMissing 2017-06-11
2018803.492/92
2019845.892/92
2020ExcludedMissing 2020-07-04
2021699.892/92
2022898.092/92
2023712.392/92
2024817.292/92

Step 6 · What Prendergast chose

The weather is plausible; the picture is composed

The NBMAA exhibition discussion explicitly considers this sheet alongside Low Tide, Nantasket. It describes overlapping figures and repeated colours that lead the eye through the crowd. The effect it calls “momentary and ephemeral” is therefore also a matter of arrangement. The bright red parasol is both a visible sign of beachgoing and an accent within that pattern.

The records make the summer subject more tangible: largely clear skies recurred, sunshine was uneven across the months, and local reporting puts excursion crowds at Nantasket. Prendergast’s sunlit scene selects a recognizable part of seaside life. No source inspected shows that he changed the weather he saw.

Blue Hill is an inland summit about 21.6 km from the Nantasket locality reference; Boston is another distinct setting. Neither station’s reading is a beach observation. Cloud cover, sunshine and the whole experience of a comfortable beach day are different quantities: temperature, wind and local conditions also matter.

The picture’s day, exact viewpoint and working sequence remain unestablished. The WCMA-linked chronology provides Boston addresses, not a dated Nantasket session; the catalogue raisonné entry and museum object file have not been inspected. Those limits constrain a date claim, while leaving the seasonal test useful. The earlier Hingham and Blue Hill rain extracts remain in the linked data, with presumed zeros and other flags intact; they are not used to infer sunshine.

Sources

Every source on this page

Weather values are rebuilt from NOAA files and scan transcriptions checked against their sha256 fingerprints. Newspaper quotations were read on the scans and are checked against the pinned transcription; museum quotations use cached text. Original scans, transcriptions and downloaded data have separate receipts. A fingerprint preserves the version used; it does not independently validate the historical interpretation. These checks do not constitute an independent source review.

  1. WCMA open collection data, object 4216, accession M.2004.13.1CC0, Williams College Museum of Art · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 610e85bd50b1aa962bf8dee2d4c3388c0acf90cbf93ca2c367e48e920bd4ab9a
  2. WCMA collection-data licence and image-use distinctionCC0 collection data; images explicitly excluded from that licence · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 0b17cffed587e888cba6ad463ea0526aea139e2fa6a5c86555f3e7204a581999
  3. WCMA-linked Prendergast Chronology, based on the catalogue raisonnéMuseum text; brief quotation and paraphrase only · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 93e0d51f0d2d91964f2c0ce731933d32f052e4fdcf19ce51ea87e1546ba6e071
  4. Searchable text extracted from the WCMA-linked chronologyDerived research text; same rights as source · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Locally extracted text; original HTML is separately pinnedsha256 45a0d0a68119925a21791af83c665aba54ee23c026725d57dd70f277688a66aa
  5. NBMAA, Rocky Shore, Nantasket, object captionMuseum text; brief quotation and paraphrase only · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 9ab6a765716c2458be23109280b6e5f3cd7a2c908e63626763117c30a058afe8
  6. NBMAA, Low Tide, Nantasket: discussion explicitly covering Rocky Shore and Low TideMuseum text; brief quotation and paraphrase only · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 41b5789ff3c35cfb808c6f8ab6f304425a6bb56915c6b82dea36fb0e63ad40ca
  7. Searchable text extracted from the NBMAA discussionDerived research text; same rights as source · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Locally extracted text; original HTML is separately pinnedsha256 f452611b93c6e3ef8a55d8a1fc038bebf33c6279e8b96cd15126fc23d1df9ebe
  8. WikiArt, Rocky Shore, Nantasket, public-domain statementPublic-domain artwork; source labels the reproduction Public domain · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 e944291f6c8ff827a99890aa7cd2756ae7594956fdd454d0c47a2bab441ec9ee
  9. Maurice Prendergast, Rocky Shore, Nantasket, reproduction via WikiArtPublic domain; faithful reproduction of an artwork by Prendergast (died 1924), explicitly labelled by WikiArt · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 3db6f7267156b846dfab044b42f9f68a31272c3feda24583158f3ba1e03bbf36
  10. NOAA NCEI, GHCN-Daily v3.35, format, units and flagsPublic US government documentation · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 0e4e6f0e6947cf1add884c328a01760f31c56ef5fb86b85ed57dd5dc4c4aeaa6
  11. NOAA NCEI, GHCN-Daily station metadataPublic NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 428eabc955883187935bce283766d5646e3ed7484b92eb0803874c0e8dd9b342
  12. NOAA NCEI, GHCN-Daily element and year inventoryPublic NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 f060753ed9cbd34ed0b92f3924f10ac0065b8a45d402c18c74cba21b7bfea49e
  13. NOAA NCEI, GHCN-Daily dataset description and use constraintsPublic NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI; DOI 10.7289/V5D21VHZ · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 da4ff150820c7f3ff2687bc922295bcfeb5c18a9b7c54a45f20a451e8ec23971
  14. NOAA GHCN-Daily, BLUE HILL COOP, USC00190736Public NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 ce49b9a5d0e91d2f0193f4621f7df6438fe2089993706827d36b86df2235dd07
  15. NOAA GHCN-Daily, HINGHAM (1), USC00193625Public NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 5cffaeef1090043a99468ed728d4b2cc2109cb25a1d467ead1ea4e42f8d4a0a7
  16. NOAA GHCN-Daily, BOSTON CITY WSO, USW00094701: coverage candidatePublic NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 4c96f520b5a50c43c4ebd106cbd8a47a3d69cc97064516ef34b8a1e26cc1045f
  17. NOAA GHCN-Daily, BOSTON, USC00190768: incomplete rainfall candidatePublic NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 e87749ae22a1e0d45f61209eecb4c410065ab1fd7b9fc94b12276ea057afd6bc
  18. NOAA GHCN-Daily, MILTON, USC00194795: incomplete rainfall candidatePublic NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 fb5354fd8e6b89ba3945eef0b3708774c8f3fccbd7650dd11f855cfe23cc6bc4
  19. Blue Hill Observatory historical timelineInstitutional text; brief paraphrase only · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 7ede7f43fabff0fc191a1383cea90c592c5f9d017c1e89af07647a6acd189377
  20. OpenStreetMap Nominatim, Nantasket Beach locality node 158854516ODbL 1.0, © OpenStreetMap contributors; locality reference, not the painting viewpoint · retrieved 8 October 2026sha256 f5e08afb83685cb669e405728485f30dd1ac8becb46ba353df74a405e5382b1e
  21. A. Lawrence Rotch, Blue Hill observations for 1896, Harvard Annals 42, part I (1897)Public-domain historical publication; NASA ADS scan · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Introduction and Tables II and VI: printed pp. vii–viii, 15–16, 22–24 (1896); pp. 134, 136–137, 153–154, 160–162 (1897). Scan-page locators in transcription.sha256 1457e1e163150329c3938fcfd41fb27ffa82d45368858d2f21ee2085c99881c1
  22. A. Lawrence Rotch, Blue Hill observations for 1897–1898, Harvard Annals 42, part II (1900)Public-domain historical publication; NASA ADS scan · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Introduction and Tables II and VI: printed pp. vii–viii, 15–16, 22–24 (1896); pp. 134, 136–137, 153–154, 160–162 (1897). Scan-page locators in transcription.sha256 06c8460c5991f599476fa162e096b4c7ebd8934b735c22cab5118bf574e022d6
  23. US Weather Bureau, Monthly Weather Review, 1896-06: Boston cloud and sunshinePublic-domain US government publication, 1896–1897; Internet Archive scan · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Boston rows, Table I and sunshine Table XI (1896) / X (1897); exact printed and PDF pages in transcription.sha256 5c09fd39f03772b996943e94542a307f7209bd8e7ab6bcb4548757243713e274
  24. US Weather Bureau, Monthly Weather Review, 1896-07: Boston cloud and sunshinePublic-domain US government publication, 1896–1897; Internet Archive scan · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Boston rows, Table I and sunshine Table XI (1896) / X (1897); exact printed and PDF pages in transcription.sha256 6ec805f5dae3966f79df8f0283ac28b4a9e373b5b324e7521375508cb589b5ec
  25. US Weather Bureau, Monthly Weather Review, 1896-08: Boston cloud and sunshinePublic-domain US government publication, 1896–1897; Internet Archive scan · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Boston rows, Table I and sunshine Table XI (1896) / X (1897); exact printed and PDF pages in transcription.sha256 d5e543dd63ea412103ebed6ba07b97be45e808f7ac4c07b5dc5309e727b2b706
  26. US Weather Bureau, Monthly Weather Review, 1897-06: Boston cloud and sunshinePublic-domain US government publication, 1896–1897; Internet Archive scan · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Boston rows, Table I and sunshine Table XI (1896) / X (1897); exact printed and PDF pages in transcription.sha256 0cda78a8cc69af9bf8d9ccaebfb482167d591d9efae038374db30f3d56975152
  27. US Weather Bureau, Monthly Weather Review, 1897-07: Boston cloud and sunshinePublic-domain US government publication, 1896–1897; Internet Archive scan · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Boston rows, Table I and sunshine Table XI (1896) / X (1897); exact printed and PDF pages in transcription.sha256 4d4f4b1310ba855f4b106f6b91c2880e0c289dfdef4f71feffcc067c8c1bcdc5
  28. US Weather Bureau, Monthly Weather Review, 1897-08: Boston cloud and sunshinePublic-domain US government publication, 1896–1897; Internet Archive scan · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Boston rows, Table I and sunshine Table XI (1896) / X (1897); exact printed and PDF pages in transcription.sha256 aa85ab192eb52b3e6fd9d1356d8ab6181977ca9a14a81bc232a4ab74ff64ab0a
  29. Weymouth Gazette, July 1896: contemporary Nantasket outingsPublic-domain 1896/1897 newspaper; Internet Archive item marked Public Domain Mark 1.0 · retrieved 8 October 2026 · PDF page 2; 3 July 1896, Woman’s Relief Corps at Nantasket / 9 July 1897, Brief Items, East Weymouth. Quote scans inspected.sha256 4b7d9e1ae6c211809550fab9ff54bf43b2957db00255fbccfa69a42095be8697
  30. Weymouth Gazette, July 1897: contemporary Nantasket outingsPublic-domain 1896/1897 newspaper; Internet Archive item marked Public Domain Mark 1.0 · retrieved 8 October 2026 · PDF page 7; 3 July 1896, Woman’s Relief Corps at Nantasket / 9 July 1897, Brief Items, East Weymouth. Quote scans inspected.sha256 1da6c135c541b60df04bf9db7d782cdf371ec091d0b52d8a85e769e50e321011
  31. NOAA GHCN-Daily, Blue Hill Observatory USW00014753, TSUNPublic NOAA data; credit NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Daily total sunshine in minutes. Complete summers within 2009–2024; full coverage audit retained.sha256 37f68324f155c94a842a45cbb1503ce3fb053b2f1b8c4a07f763488278f9ee2b
  32. Nephos scan transcription: sun-cloud-transcriptionResearch transcription of public-domain sources; original scans separately pinned · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Manual author transcription, visually checked against the cited scan pages; no independent source review claimed. Included in the study data.sha256 c71d317986dccd77aefb5a6ba8e92754184d5a098e2b915e86d1e7701f5e2a72
  33. Nephos scan transcription: boston-transcriptionResearch transcription of public-domain sources; original scans separately pinned · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Manual author transcription, visually checked against the cited scan pages; no independent source review claimed. Included in the study data.sha256 a5b5a5431405fc0b6a8c45260b8f5dba00bab80f0ca92e9cd5c2d7e587a96c1a
  34. Nephos scan transcription: witness-transcriptionResearch transcription of public-domain sources; original scans separately pinned · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Manual author transcription, visually checked against the cited scan pages; no independent source review claimed. Included in the study data.sha256 ec94a4d129dec46ce13262245dbd543afbbefd561b003f3180bfd75b6dfaf119
  35. Blue Hill Observatory: current climate-data access and licenceInstitutional text; paraphrase only · retrieved 8 October 2026 · Current downloadable daily spreadsheet requires a restrictive data-use agreement. Not downloaded; no restricted series used.sha256 b91bb411e44c076783685b2a7274092dd3998521279f3e2b8cb9015eed9e035c

The numbers on this page, as JSONThe method card, as JSON