Nephosthe weather behind the paintings

The Met marks this painting’s image as restricted. No open reproduction was verified for this study.

View the painting at The Met

Rockwell Kent, Winter, Monhegan Island, 1907. Oil on canvas, 86 × 111.8 cm. The Metropolitan Museum of Art, George A. Hearn Fund, 1917, 17.48.2. Image rights: Estate of Rockwell Kent.

A study against the weather record

Rockwell Kent

Winter, Monhegan Island

1907 · The Metropolitan Museum of Art, 17.48.2 · George A. Hearn Fund, 1917

Snow, a fishing dory and low afternoon light. What can the winter before Kent’s first solo exhibition tell us about this picture?

1907the signed year. The picture was exhibited by April; the afternoon it depicts has no documented date.

Regional snow contextPainted day unknown

The recordsThe object record at The Met

The Nephos method

How this study was read

The method in full
  1. What is written

    The picture is signed 1907 and was shown in April that year. January–March is a calendar comparison before the exhibition, not a documented painting session. The painted day and manner of execution remain unknown.

  2. Records of those days

    • Portland daily snow depth, NOAA GHCN-Daily76.1 km from the Monhegan light-station reference point. All 90 daily entries survive in the selected 1907 window; 36 complete windows qualify in the 1893–1940 archive.
    • The Met’s 1922 cataloguePage 162 describes snow-covered ground, late-afternoon light and coloured shadows; these are descriptions of paint, not readings from an instrument.
    • Kent’s Wilderness, published 1920The entry for 16 November 1918 remembers his first Monhegan winter. It is retrospective and does not identify this picture’s weather.

    Not found or not yet searched

    • No document examined fixes the depicted scene to a day or establishes outdoor versus studio execution.
    • No verified daily Monhegan snow-depth or sky record has been obtained. Portland is a separate mainland station.
    • No open reproduction of this object was verified; the painting is linked at the Met.
  3. Each claim tested

    • Does the snowy setting have support in the regional record? Portland recorded measurable snow on the ground on 86 of 90 days in January–March 1907. Persistent regional snow provides context for Kent’s snowy view; it cannot date the scene or measure snow on Monhegan.
    • Was snow cover persistent at Portland? The count ranks 3 of 36 accepted January–March windows. Trace snow is separate; missing and presumed-zero readings exclude a year. This is a rank within the archive, not a homogenized climate series.
    • Can the record establish what Kent changed? No. The catalogue describes his arrangement of light and shadow, but no dated source view establishes that he added snow, altered the sky or recorded one particular afternoon.
  4. Verdict

    Portland recorded measurable snow on the ground on 86 of 90 days in January–March 1907. Persistent regional snow provides context for Kent’s snowy view; it cannot date the scene or measure snow on Monhegan.

    • Partially agreesPersistent snow as regional context Measured at Portland; no local validation of the island scene.
    • UnknownThe depicted day and any alteration of its weather Neither a dated source view nor a local observation has been established.

What this cannot tell you. The signed year dates the object, not each observation behind it. Earlier winters could inform it. Snow depth is not snowfall, sea ice or air temperature. Mainland exposure, station changes and the missing local record limit the comparison. No modern normal or reanalysis is substituted.

Step 1 · The picture’s history

A finished picture by April; an undated afternoon

Two fishermen in a dory, fish houses beside the harbour, snow across the foreground: the Met’s 1922 catalogue describes a late-afternoon view, with “cold yellowish lights and deep blue shadows”. Its phrase “the effect is icy.” describes the painting’s effect. It is not a report that the sea was frozen or a reading of the air temperature.

The Met identifies the distant islands as Manana, Smutty Nose and Little Smutty Nose. It records Kent’s arrival on Monhegan in 1905 and includes this canvas in his April 1907 New York exhibition. New Britain’s museum essay dates the Clausen Galleries opening to 1 April; the period Met catalogue transcribes the signature and year.

We therefore examine 1 January–31 March 1907, the calendar months before the exhibition in the signed year. This is seasonal context, not a documented execution interval. The sources examined do not establish whether this canvas was painted outside, worked up in a studio, or informed by observations from an earlier winter. A signed year cannot date every experience behind a picture.

“Signed: Rockwell Kent 1907.”

Met catalogue (1922), p. 162

“The exhibition opened April 1, 1907”

New Britain Museum of American Art, Kent essay, note 2

Step 2 · The regional record

Snow that remained on the ground

At Portland, Maine, measurable snow lay on the ground at observation on 86 of 90 days in January–March 1907. The other entries are 1 trace and 3 zeros without a trace flag. The record concerns the snow already lying there, not how often snow fell.

The largest reported depth in this interval is 61.0 cm, on 27 February–1 March 1907. Using NOAA’s station coordinates and the Monhegan light station as a location reference gives a straight-line separation of 76.1 km. Portland is a mainland station with a different exposure. These values do not measure the island’s snow, the harbour’s water or the light Kent saw.

Portland snow depth, January–March 1907Daily depth at observation in centimetres at Portland, Maine. This is snow on the ground, not new snowfall or a measurement on Monhegan. A small circle marks a trace.010203040506070Snow depth at observation · cm · Portland, MaineJanuary1 January 1907: 7.6 cm2 January 1907: 7.6 cm3 January 1907: 7.6 cm4 January 1907: 7.6 cm5 January 1907: 7.6 cm6 January 1907: 5.1 cm7 January 1907: 5.1 cm8 January 1907: 5.1 cm9 January 1907: 5.1 cm10 January 1907: 5.1 cm11 January 1907: 5.1 cm12 January 1907: 20.3 cm13 January 1907: 20.3 cm14 January 1907: 22.9 cm15 January 1907: 22.9 cm16 January 1907: 22.9 cm17 January 1907: 22.9 cm18 January 1907: 25.4 cm19 January 1907: 22.9 cm20 January 1907: 17.8 cm21 January 1907: 15.2 cm22 January 1907: 30.5 cm23 January 1907: 30.5 cm24 January 1907: 30.5 cm25 January 1907: 38.1 cm26 January 1907: 40.6 cm27 January 1907: 40.6 cm28 January 1907: 40.6 cm29 January 1907: 40.6 cm30 January 1907: 40.6 cm31 January 1907: 40.6 cmFebruary1 February 1907: 40.6 cm2 February 1907: 27.9 cm3 February 1907: 25.4 cm4 February 1907: 25.4 cm5 February 1907: 45.7 cm6 February 1907: 48.3 cm7 February 1907: 45.7 cm8 February 1907: 45.7 cm9 February 1907: 45.7 cm10 February 1907: 38.1 cm11 February 1907: 30.5 cm12 February 1907: 30.5 cm13 February 1907: 30.5 cm14 February 1907: 25.4 cm15 February 1907: 22.9 cm16 February 1907: 20.3 cm17 February 1907: 22.9 cm18 February 1907: 35.6 cm19 February 1907: 40.6 cm20 February 1907: 38.1 cm21 February 1907: 38.1 cm22 February 1907: 38.1 cm23 February 1907: 38.1 cm24 February 1907: 38.1 cm25 February 1907: 55.9 cm26 February 1907: 55.9 cm27 February 1907: 61.0 cm28 February 1907: 61.0 cmMarch1 March 1907: 61.0 cm2 March 1907: 53.3 cm3 March 1907: 48.3 cm4 March 1907: 45.7 cm5 March 1907: 45.7 cm6 March 1907: 43.2 cm7 March 1907: 43.2 cm8 March 1907: 40.6 cm9 March 1907: 38.1 cm10 March 1907: 35.6 cm11 March 1907: 33.0 cm12 March 1907: 27.9 cm13 March 1907: 20.3 cm14 March 1907: 17.8 cm15 March 1907: 12.7 cm16 March 1907: 12.7 cm17 March 1907: 10.2 cm18 March 1907: 5.1 cm19 March 1907: 10.2 cm20 March 1907: 7.6 cm21 March 1907: 5.1 cm22 March 1907: 5.1 cm23 March 1907: 2.5 cm24 March 1907: 17.8 cm25 March 1907: 15.2 cm26 March 1907: 7.6 cm27 March 1907: 2.5 cm29 March 1907: traceTrace is kept separate from measurable depth. No missing readings in this window.
NOAA GHCN-Daily, Portland USC00176902. Daily snow depth in millimetres converted to centimetres. Each bar is an observation, not an estimate from the painting.
Measurable snow on the ground at Portland
1907Days with measurable depthDays observed
January3131
February2828
March2731

Step 3 · Test the comparison

Persistent in this archive; local conditions unknown

The 86-day count ranks 3 of 36 complete January–March windows in Portland’s 1893–1940 snow-depth archive, with the most persistent first. This is a comparison within the published record. Continuity of the observing site and snow exposure has not been established, so the rank is not a homogenized measure of climatic rarity.

Every comparison uses the same calendar months with 29 February omitted. A trace is not measurable depth. A missing reading, a failed quality check, or a value marked as presumed zero excludes that year; missing snow is never counted as no snow. No modern normal is attached: this station’s record ends in 1940, and no airport series is spliced onto it.

The accepted years and the exclusions
January–March; 29 February omitted
YearDays with measurable snow depth
189378
189475
189585
189667
189757
189876
189969
190062
190165
190240
190364
190482
190585
190647
190786
190848
190974
191063
191164
191276
191337
191476
191537
191673
191779
191885
191958
192150
192281
192390
192775
192955
193055
193180
193254
193489

Excluded: 1920, 1924, 1925, 1926, 1928, 1933, 1935, 1936, 1937, 1938, 1939, 1940. Individual rejected dates, flags and reason codes are retained in the study data.

Step 4 · What the records can say

The snow has context; the light remains Kent’s

The regional record makes persistent snow a reasonable context for a canvas completed by early April 1907. It cannot establish that Kent painted a particular snowfall, or that the snow cover on Monhegan matched Portland. The catalogue’s description puts his treatment of cold in the relationship between warm light and blue shadow. We have no dated source view from which to say that he added snow, changed the sky or faithfully recorded one afternoon.

Kent later remembered intense cold on Monhegan. In Wilderness, the entry for 16 November 1918, he recalled water freezing near his stove during his first island winter. That is the artist’s retrospective testimony, not a weather observation dated to this painting. Neither the memory nor the Portland rank supplies the missing painted day.

“that first winter on Monhegan in my unfinished house”

Rockwell Kent, Wilderness (1920), p. 85; remembering Monhegan from Alaska

Sources

Every source on this page

Each file was downloaded and given a fingerprint (its sha256). The page is rebuilt from these files and will not build if a fingerprint changes, so every number above comes from them rather than being typed in.

  1. The Met, Winter, Monhegan Island, 17.48.2Citation excerpts; museum text rights retained · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Object text, saved from browser extraction; direct HTML returned 429sha256 ab47fa4c6e52f06d815382843320601d7aa7eb04fcfa41cc5c32d69c5b41ed54
  2. The Met collection API, object 480657CC0 object metadata; artwork image restricted · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Accession, date, dimensions and image rightssha256 13405bbc5d5944c1a440ae0d9dbb29710c139a5ba2202daf804df88ba6e71b90
  3. Bryson Burroughs, Catalogue of Paintings, Met, sixth edition (1922)Public domain, published 1922 · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Printed p. 162; OCR read against the page imagesha256 ddcba419a49c2a5855d2ea71966b4b4b1cb2f464693604befe99a30363fc1d4f
  4. Met Catalogue of Paintings (1922), p. 162 scanPublic domain, published 1922 · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Printed p. 162; download n191 (n192 returned p. 163)sha256 97a3ae5da6cfb91672d57d39905b8b6495608e12a5cb3a7833bc14c0f713d522
  5. New Britain Museum of American Art, Kent / Toilers of the SeaCitation excerpts; museum text rights retained · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Essay note 2 dates the Clausen exhibition opening to 1 April 1907sha256 a8f85ad6ed161b712919aaade09aa6c111a1068564ee352a6e4550a04aae55dc
  6. Rockwell Kent, Wilderness (1920), p. 85Public domain in the United States; Project Gutenberg transcription · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Entry for 16 November 1918: recollection of the first Monhegan wintersha256 b44c03e67c8b96a6c037ed96c981f4e48d4b553ae6d71fb39e76c497dcff8306
  7. NOAA GHCN-Daily, Portland, USC00176902U.S. government open data · retrieved 7 October 2026 · SNWD; all daily flags retainedsha256 a7850acbddcc6edde5f32347110bb88cb6e74dad65d385aef148e1a476fbece4
  8. NOAA GHCN-Daily format and flag definitionsU.S. government open data · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Sections III–IVsha256 0e4e6f0e6947cf1add884c328a01760f31c56ef5fb86b85ed57dd5dc4c4aeaa6
  9. NOAA GHCN-Daily station metadataU.S. government open data · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Reused unmodified from the existing sharp cache; not a fresh retrievalsha256 14c6467fcce6cce8dc0786eba8bbceed51a2f1c1056b0e221b573157559fc824
  10. NOAA GHCN-Daily element inventoryU.S. government open data · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Reused unmodified from the existing sharp cache; coverage checked against the station filesha256 fb8a5b7b5bd25b6828fc822e4a4bc2a036053ac5af30697b4df1386a21cb0e59
  11. U.S. Lighthouse Society, Monhegan Island light-station locationFactual coordinates; site text rights retained · retrieved 7 October 2026 · 43° 45.9′ N, 69° 19′ W; location reference, not a painting viewpointsha256 dc21590477f19604294e9f8bc587b00008fc7bad004d1cf888fba1c8bda63bf2
  12. National Archives, lighthouse logbook inventoryU.S. government information · retrieved 7 October 2026 · No Monhegan row found; Matinicus Rock row covers September 1918–October 1920sha256 c4836a3ec8ed76a2c3f35fc70706cfd652be5a6359681a96b4af432a75ab546e
  13. Scott R. Ferris, In Review: What’s in a Title (2005), part 2Citation excerpts; author and publisher rights retained · retrieved 7 October 2026 · Rejects equating Winter with The Shadows of Eveningsha256 355f9d6f79f724bb3b09a10f33c86c6af25fb2884d5115589e9505ec786b52c7

The numbers on this page, as JSONThe method card, as JSON