Nephosthe weather behind the paintings

The artwork

Study of clouds above a wide landscape

Pencil and watercolour on laid paper · Height: 189 mm; Width: 227 mm

No museum image is reproduced here.

View the museum object

John Constable · Victoria and Albert Museum · 240-1888

Study of clouds above a wide landscape

15 September 1830 · Pencil and watercolour on laid paper · Height: 189 mm; Width: 227 mm

“about 11--Noon--Sepr 15 1830. Wind--W.”

Museum transcription. Source record. Each underlined phrase links to its claim.

The year is disputed. The V&A transcribes 1830 but says the last figure could read 1 and is probably a blind 0 written with a blunt pencil. This record compares 15 September 1830 conditionally; it does not use weather to choose between 1830 and 1831. The solar calculation uses 11:30 as a midpoint.

Finding · Nephos analysis · version 2026-09-09

For the museum’s preferred 1830 reading, Constable writes W and Howard records SW, an adjacent direction. The comparison partly agrees in direction but cannot decide the disputed year or establish local wind at the stated hour.

The Nephos method

How this study was read

The method in full
  1. What is written

    great britain, 15 September 1830 · disputed, about 11--Noon.

    • about 11--Noon--Sepr 15 1830. Wind--W.Victoria and Albert Museum, 240-1888, as the museum transcribes it
  2. Records of those days

    • Luke Howard’s registerPrinted daily wind, thermometer and notes, The Climate of London. Kept at Tottenham or Stratford, not Hampstead.
    • 20th Century ReanalysisA modern reconstruction for a 1° cell about 111 by 68 km, estimated from pressure, not observed.
  3. Each claim tested

    • “Sepr 15 1830.” The year is disputed.
    • “about 11--Noon” The computed Sun describes the light available at an assumed place and hour.
    • “Wind--W.” On the conditional 1830 date, W and SW are adjacent sectors at different places.
  4. Verdict

    For the museum’s preferred 1830 reading, Constable writes W and Howard records SW, an adjacent direction.

    • Partially agrees“Wind--W.”
    • Unknown“Sepr 15 1830.”, “about 11--Noon”

01 · The evidence

The claims and their witnesses.

Each phrase of the inscription is a claim. Each column is a witness that never saw the painting, with its own place, scale and limit.

How to read itRead across one row: the phrase Constable wrote, what each witness can say about it, and the verdict on the right. A dash means that witness has nothing to offer on that claim.

ClaimHoward registerPrinted table · SourceWeather reconstruction20th Century Reanalysis · SourceThe sunComputed · Hampstead assumed · SourceVerdict and limit
“Sepr 15 1830.”
Unknown
The register has an entry for this day. Nothing in it names a painter. Page image — — The year is disputed. The V&A transcribes 1830 but says the last figure could read 1 and is probably a blind 0 written with a blunt pencil. This record compares 15 September 1830 conditionally; it does not use weather to choose between 1830 and 1831. The solar calculation uses 11:30 as a midpoint. No independent source assembled here dates the painting.
Link to claim
“about 11--Noon”
Unknown
— — 41.3° altitude · 171.8° azimuthAt 11:30 local mean time; Hampstead assumed. Computation. The computed Sun describes the light available at an assumed place and hour. No independently identified landmark or measured painted solar direction establishes the time of execution.
Link to claim
“Wind--W.”
Partially agrees
SWPage image Wind from 298° · 1.3 m/s; 65 ± 33% cloud; 15.8 ± 1.6°C12:00 UTC; a regional cell, about 111 × 68 km. Mean and one-sigma spread. Query sources. — On the conditional 1830 date, W and SW are adjacent sectors at different places. That gives only partial agreement. No 1831 register is substituted, and the weather does not resolve the inscription.
Link to claim

Described. Words used by a person in a particular context: the inscription and the printed register. A felt quality cannot be converted into a threshold, and strength words have no shared numerical scale.

Modelled. A reconstruction describes a regional cell. It is not an observation at the easel. No weather agreement independently establishes a painting's date.

02 · The witnesses

What each source can reach.

Howard · 15 September 1830

The printed register

SW · 65° / 55°F

Wind and first thermometer, maximum/minimum for 15 September 1830. Page image.

“Fine.” Note page image.

The table does not establish conditions at Constable’s position. Supplementary Tottenham observations are kept separate from the main register.

The computed sun

41.3° altitude · 171.8° azimuth

At 11:30 local mean time; 51.560° N, 0.165° W is an assumed Hampstead position. No cited source establishes the clock basis; local mean time there trails UTC by about 40 seconds.

A solar calculation supplies no observation of the painting's execution. No painted angular measurement is established here.

Weather reconstruction

Regional context

Wind from 298° · 1.3 m/s; 65 ± 33% cloud; 15.8 ± 1.6°C

12:00 UTC at 52° N, 0° E. Wind speed and bearing calculated from the mean u/v components; component spreads are retained in the query sources. Cloud and temperature show mean and one-sigma spread. This is a 1° cell about 111 × 68 km. No local wind-strength scale or capture cloud measurement is established here.

The disputed date

Museum reading

The year is disputed. The V&A transcribes 1830 but says the last figure could read 1 and is probably a blind 0 written with a blunt pencil. This record compares 15 September 1830 conditionally; it does not use weather to choose between 1830 and 1831. The solar calculation uses 11:30 as a midpoint.

Museum record

Reynolds reading · unverified

Graham Reynolds, Catalogue of the Constable Collection (1973), p. 198, no. 328, plate 248, as cited by the V&A. The catalogue text was not accessible for an independent reading. The museum’s possible 1831 reading is not presented as a separately verified Reynolds transcription.

Located catalogue; borrowing required

03 · Making the artwork

The sky passed through an artist's decisions.

Production uncertainty is separate from weather uncertainty. The located sources do not establish every stage of this object's making, and “unknown” is not evidence that a stage did not happen.

Locationpartly known
great britain The exact easel coordinates are not established; the solar comparison uses the assumed Hampstead position.
Date evidence
The year is disputed. The V&A transcribes 1830 but says the last figure could read 1 and is probably a blind 0 written with a blunt pencil. This record compares 15 September 1830 conditionally; it does not use weather to choose between 1830 and 1831. The solar calculation uses 11:30 as a midpoint. Museum source.
Outdoor executionunresolved
The evidence assembled here does not establish that every passage was executed outdoors in the stated interval.
Preparatory work and later changesunknown
No complete sequence or timing of working sessions is established by the sources assembled here. No technical examination of this object is offered.

04 · Revisions

How the reading changed.

9 September 2026First record
Sources assembled
The museum transcription is placed beside the independently dated register and modelled context. Catalogue qualifications remain explicit.
What remains open
This is the first Nephos record for this object. No earlier verdict is being revised.

05 · Take this into your work

A record you can cite, print or embed.

Cite individual claims by their link, and cite museum and historical sources directly when using their statements. Nephos analysis is independent of the holding institution; image licences are separate from the research text.

Machine-readable

For the Victoria and Albert Museum: this record is for 240-1888. If it is right, link it from your object page; if anything is wrong, write to Nephos and it will be corrected the same day.

JSON-LD record

The museum’s catalogue remains the authority. Nephos does not claim endorsement.

06 · Sources

Follow every claim.

  1. M1Victoria and Albert Museum: John Constable, Study of clouds above a wide landscape, 240-1888. Object page; museum transcription. The museum says the last date figure might read 1 but is probably a blind 0 written with a blunt pencil. Its chosen catalogue date is retained and marked disputed.
  2. H1Luke Howard, The Climate of London, 2nd edition, vol. III (London: Harvey and Darton, 1833); Table CCXCII, p. 364; continuation and results, p. 365 Page image. Printed monthly results.
  3. S1Skyfield 1.55 with JPL DE440. Apparent topocentric Sun without atmospheric refraction. The place and clock basis are assumptions; the calculation is recorded in the JSON-LD record.
  4. R1NOAA-CIRES-DOE 20th Century Reanalysis v3. tcdc mean · tcdc spread · uwnd mean · uwnd spread · vwnd mean · vwnd spread · air mean · air spread